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	<title>Mobiletribe &#187; Juniper Research</title>
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	<description>The business of mobile services and media</description>
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		<title>Cold feet or getting real?</title>
		<link>http://www.mobiletribe.com/business-models/cold-feet-or-getting-real/#utm_source=feed&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://www.mobiletribe.com/business-models/cold-feet-or-getting-real/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Apr 2009 06:30:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>pfhagermark</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business models]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CTIA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mobile media general]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[andrew bud]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Juniper Research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mblox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile Entertainment]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mobiletribe.com/?p=295</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Now the optimistic hyperbolic analysts are getting cold feet. In a recent study by Juniper as reported about here, it is now expected that the effect of the recession will eat into the growth of mobile entertainment revenues. In Juniper&#8217;s case they say the growth will be half of what they previously said. Well in [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Now the optimistic hyperbolic analysts are getting cold feet. In a recent study by <a href="http://www.juniperresearch.com" target="_blank">Juniper</a> as reported about <a href="http://www.fiercemobilecontent.com/story/recession-will-cut-mobile-entertainment-growth-half/2009-04-07?utm_medium=nl&amp;utm_source=internal&amp;cmp-id=EMC-NL-FW&amp;dest=FMC">here,</a> it is now expected that the effect of the recession will eat into the growth of mobile entertainment revenues. In Juniper&#8217;s case they say the growth will be half of what they previously said.</p>
<p>Well in my mind,  we are finally seeing less hyperbole and more realistic estimates. There is a point in the Juniper report that is key though. The cost of mobile data. We are seeing flat rate &#8220;all you can eat&#8221; offers becoming the norm. This is great to drive consumer adaptation. However, there is a huge conflict brewing here with &#8220;all you can eat&#8221; packages and increased use of data from more data consuming services like video for instance. At some point the production cost will be more than the revenue. The operators have created a dilemma for themselves in a way. We should not stop at the mobile network operator though. The network infrstructure suppliers have a stake in this as well. As does creative network sharing deals among the operators.</p>
<p>Get me right here, I am a huge fan of consumer friendly business. Not only for the consumers sake, but for the sake of building profitable companies. It all starts with the consumer who pays the bill at the end of the day. We do need cheap data traffic with a high degree of transparency. But no ecosystem survives if one link fails. So here we need to find good suitable pricing models. Wholesale data traffic sold from operator to content provider who in his turn sets a price for the service that includes the data traffic. At <a href="http://www.ctiawireless.com" target="_blank">CTIA</a> these arguments were elaborated upon by <a href="http://www.mblox.com/about/executive-team.php#bud" target="_blank">Andrew Bud of mBlox</a> in a very clear way. </p>
<p>The long and short of it is that we will see growth in mobile entertainment through this recession and beyond. The rate of growth will very much depend on an orchestrated effort from all participants in the ecosystem to help lowering the production cost and allowing for transparent profitable models all the way so we together can deliver attractive services at price points were get mass adoption.</p>

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		<title>10 reasons why you should _not_ go to MWC&#039;09</title>
		<link>http://www.mobiletribe.com/mobile-media-general/10-reasons-why-you-should-_not_-go-to-mwc09/#utm_source=feed&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://www.mobiletribe.com/mobile-media-general/10-reasons-why-you-should-_not_-go-to-mwc09/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Feb 2009 13:31:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>pfhagermark</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[mobile media general]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MWC09]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barcelona]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Mobile Awards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Juniper Research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile Entertainment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile World Congress]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MWC 2009]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mobiletribe.com/?p=188</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s that time of the year again &#8211; Mobile World Congress in Barcelona. The marketing machinery from the various stakeholders is in over-drive. I let this list from Juniper Research serve as an example of this as well as a response to why I am not going and why many should consider how they spend [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s that time of the year again &#8211; Mobile World Congress in Barcelona. The marketing machinery from the various stakeholders is in over-drive. I let this list from Juniper Research serve as an example of this as well as a response to why I am not going and why many should consider how they spend their attention and money these days. Big is not always the best. Follow the crowd is not always the smartest. Quality and focus can give you a razor sharp edge.</p>
<p> </p>
<ol class="style1" type="1">
<li><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:xx-small;">Best networking opportunities, with over 46% C-Level attendees<br />
<strong>PF says:</strong> Yes, a lot them C-guys there, but the quality of the meetings can never be good in a setting like this and many meetings never happen since the agendas are re-shuffled several times a day. How many of your meetings and prior MWC&#8217;s have happened on time with enough time or at all?</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:xx-small;">On average over 18 new business leads for each attendee<br />
<strong>PF says: </strong>Eehh&#8230;.and the quality of these leads? Often not much better than the expensive paper the business card is printed on. Target your prospects in more intelligent ways than trawling widely at the floor of MWC. </span></li>
<li><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:xx-small;">Thousands of new products, and service announcements<br />
<strong>PF says:</strong> Exactly, and this vast information is much better digested and made sense of by searching and filtering information online. In addition it is pretty boring to listen to a all techno-marketing this industry has been stubborn enough to push the last decades. Nice, but what can this tech do for me and my customers in real plain non-corporate bullshit terms?</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:xx-small;">Over 2,700 press and media, generating thousands of articles<br />
<strong>PF says</strong>: Yes, about the same mainstream news that the large corporations manage to push out. I rather follow blogs and media in my niche. However, disclaimer here. I would go to MWC to blog and twitter about the more niche and smaller things. This is if I had the time and could afford it, but I got a few businesses to execute on and I can&#8217;t afford that luxury this year. </span></li>
<li><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:xx-small;">Leading operators, and mobile companies <a href="http://click.icptrack.com/icp/relay.php?r=11891979&amp;msgid=330208&amp;act=6KH6&amp;c=141905&amp;admin=0&amp;destination=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.mobileworldcongress.com%2Fexhibitorlisting%3FBARCEVP%3DJUNCH"><strong>are there</strong></a>.<br />
<strong>PF says:</strong> Yes, so what? Where are the consumers, test panels and other companies that can, are and should mobilise their business? </span></li>
<li><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:xx-small;">Meet the finalists of the <strong>Global Mobile Awards</strong>, and the <strong><a href="http://click.icptrack.com/icp/relay.php?r=11891979&amp;msgid=330208&amp;act=6KH6&amp;c=141905&amp;admin=0&amp;destination=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.mobileinnovation.org%2F%3FBARCEVP%3DJUNCH">Mobile Innovation Global Award Competition<br />
</a><strong><span style="font-weight:normal;"><strong>PF says: </strong>Nice dinner on the stiff side my friends have told me. I konw, I have no first hand experence on this point, but I trust my friends. I get the winners list and motivations from the jury onine anyway. </span></strong></strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:xx-small;">Learn the latest industry initiatives at <strong>FREE</strong> <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="http://click.icptrack.com/icp/relay.php?r=11891979&amp;msgid=330208&amp;act=6KH6&amp;c=141905&amp;admin=0&amp;destination=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.mobileworldcongress.com%2Fgsma_events.shtml%3FBARCEVP%3DJUNCH">GSMA seminars</a></span><a href="http://click.icptrack.com/icp/relay.php?r=11891979&amp;msgid=330208&amp;act=6KH6&amp;c=141905&amp;admin=0&amp;destination=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.mobileworldcongress.com%2Fgsma_events.shtml%3FBARCEVP%3DJUNCH"><br />
</a><span style="font-weight:normal;"><span style="color:#000000;"><strong>PF says:</strong> If it&#8217;s free the risk is I already know it or can get the information easily elsewhere </span></span></strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:xx-small;">Network at the Mobile Money Pavilion, Innovation Zone, Green Power Pavilion, Mobile Media and Entertainment Zone, and GSMA Pavilion<br />
<strong>PF says:</strong> One reason to go. At least there is some segmentation so I can find some of the niches relevant to me. But still, my comments on points 1-3 applies. Reading the exhibitors list online gives me good info as well. </span></li>
<li><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:xx-small;">Get a chance to see two-time Academy Award winning actor and film director <strong>Kevin Spacey</strong> as part of the <a href="http://click.icptrack.com/icp/relay.php?r=11891979&amp;msgid=330208&amp;act=6KH6&amp;c=141905&amp;admin=0&amp;destination=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.mofilm.com%2F%3FBARCEVP%3DJUNCH"><strong>MoFilm festival</strong></a></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:xx-small;"> and MoFilm stand in the Media and Entertainment Hall<br />
<strong>PF says: </strong>The main reason I would go if time and money was not better spent on my business. As I have <a href="http://mobiletribe.com/2009/02/04/one-to-watch-mobile-film/" target="_self">previously posted</a> I beleive this is a sustainable niche for mobile entertainment. </span></li>
<li><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:xx-small;">Enjoy the sights and sounds of the beautiful city of Barcelona<br />
<strong>PF says:</strong> Eeehh&#8230;.No thanks! Great city I adore it, but MWC must be the worst possible time to explore Barcelona. Invaded by all the visitors, higher prices, not the best weather and locals who are fed up with us tourists.  </span></li>
</ol>
<p> </p>
<p>So if you care about your business and have things to do. And you should have things to do. If the execution list is not in place and pretty packed it is time to fear. In times like these execution count even more. So another sound way to &#8220;recession-proof&#8221; your business might very well be to stay away from Barcelona for MWC. Then you might have some success with your business and you can reward yourself with a well earned (but most likely short) vacation in Barcelona in May or June. That&#8217;s what I call a win-win.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s polling time!</p>
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